Page 32 - Bullion World Volume 5 Issue 06 June 2025
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Bullion World | Volume 5 | Issue 06 | June 2025

              used to be elders – like way above 60s who hold    the same kind of amount of gold exported in
              gold from a long time ago. As they were bargain    2024. This is purely because of smuggling. Why
              hunters, these recent price rallies were quite good   smuggling? Because of the consumption tax.
              opportunities to liquidate their longs and get out of
              the investment market as they were entering ages   Japan introduced a value added tax called
              to use what they had built.                        Consumption tax in 1989. It started at 3% and
                                                                 rose to 4% in 1994, 5% in 1997, 8% in 2014 and
              After Covid, the main generations of investors     finally 10% in 2019. Consumption tax applies to
              changed to younger generations. They are from      everything including gold. But the tax is borne
              late 20s to 60s. Lot of the younger generation don’t   by the final consumer, that means when you sell
              know the era when gold was around 1000 yen/        gold, the tax would be borne by the buyer, and you
              gram. For them gold is around more than 15000      receive consumer tax back. The retail gold price
              yen per gram, and they take it as it is. As they have   includes consumption tax both the shops’ offer
              not experienced those cheaper days, they are not   and bid.
              afraid of heights. What they fear is devaluation of
              the Japanese yen. After the Covid when the world   Japanese retail gold price currently is 10% higher
              is open, they experienced the loss of the value of   than global price due to the tax. That means if you
              their currency against other foreign currencies    bring gold from foreign countries where there is no
              and felt the inflation quite acutely eating their yen’s   tax over gold and sell it in Japan you automatically
              value.                                             get 10% more on the gold price. You must declare
                                                                 the gold you bring in at customs and pay 10% tax.
              Younger generations began to feel this trend and   Smuggled gold is the gold brought in without tax
              they realized they must do something to protect    declaration and targeted to take this 10% by
              their wealth. Luckily the Japanese government      doing so.
              had changed its NISA non-tax account threshold
              to much higher level to total of 18 million yen from   The government is trying hard to avoid this crime
              only 1.2million yen on 1st of April 2024. All these   but criminals always find loopholes in the system.
              situations ushered young and old investors and     Most of Japanese Gold market players try not
              even non-investors into investment. Gold funds and   to buy those smuggled gold but there are some
              ETFs could be traded under NISA account without    who buy with half eye closed. Once those bars
              tax. Thus, new money keeps coming into gold        are melted down, nobody can tell the difference
              funds, gold ETFs and although not a NISA product,   and those gold are exported in tons to Hong
              physical gold. Since 2024 the AUMs of those        Kong and Singapore in huge amount. Those gold
              products keep going up while US and European       would be coming back to Japan in smuggling
              market AUM of the gold ETF have been trending      again and the loop is repeated forever. Japan is
              lower as the US interest rates are hovering around   losing money because it levies consumption tax on
              5%. In very good contrast to North American and    gold. Personally, I assume this will continue until
              European gold investment, both Japanese Gold       Japanese government abolish consumption tax on
              ETFs and Gold funds are adding on their AUM        gold but it is quite difficult to change the existing
              continuously.                                      taxation politically. Smuggling will continue to be a
                                                                 big headache for the Japanese gold market
                                                                 and Japan.
           2.  GOLD SMUGGLING CONTINUES
              TO BE A BIG HEADACHE.

              As I mentioned above, we are seeing good
              investments in gold now. But despite the robust
              domestic demand, Japan remains a big exporter
              of gold. We have only one minor gold mine in
              Kagoshima called Hishikari gold mine which
              produces about 4 tons a year. Still Japan exports
              more than 120 tons gold in 2023 and most likely


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